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Tropical Center: Invest #97 Forecast Models Tropical Center: Invest #97 Forecast Models

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39.04372, -77.48749

Currently
at Leesburg/Godfrey, VA

Last update 28 minutes ago

45°F 7°C

Feels Like 40°F 4°C

Cloudy

  • Winds

    S 9 mph 15 kmh

  • Dew Point

    45°F 7°C

  • Humidity

    100%

  • Pressure

    30.36 in 1028 mb

  • Visibility

    10 mi 16 km

  • Sky Cover

    100%

  • 1-Hr Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

Short Term

Expect a chance of light rain through 7 PM with temperatures remaining around the mid 40s this afternoon. Expect a chance of light rain through 7 PM with temperatures remaining around 7 degrees this afternoon.

  • Local
  • Regional
  • United States
  • Play
Nearby

44°F 7°C

Baltimore

47°F 8°C

Washington D.c.

47°F 8°C

Arlington

47°F 8°C

Alexandria

Almanac
Yesterday So Far Today
High (Normal) 48°F 9°C  (45.1°F)  (7.3°C) 46°F 8°C  (45.3°F)  (7.4°C)
Low (Normal) 30°F -1°C  (25.0°F)  (-3.9°C) 37°F 3°C  (25.2°F)  (-3.8°C)
Max Winds 13 mph 20 kmh 13 mph 20 kmh
Wind Gust -- 17 mph 28 kmh
Precip 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.00" 0.00 mm
Next 36 Hours

Tonight


 

47°F 8°C

Isolated Showers

  • Winds

    5-10 mph 10-15 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunset

    5:52 pm

Tomorrow


 

71°F 22°C

Partly Cloudy

  • Winds

    10-15 mph 15-20 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunrise

    6:53 am

Tomorrow Night


 

54°F 12°C

Partly Cloudy

  • Winds

    5-10 mph 10-20 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunset

    5:53 pm

Forecast
Winds Precip Snow
Mon
Feb 19
25% Isolated Showers
37 3
52 11
5-10 10-20 0.02" 0.55 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Mon
Feb 19
Day
Night
Night

47°F 8°C

Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers

Winds

S 5-10 mph 10-15 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Tue
Feb 20
Partly Cloudy
47 8
71 22
5-15 10-20 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Tue
Feb 20
Day
Night
Day

71°F 22°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

SSW 10-15 mph 15-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

54°F 12°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

S 5-10 mph 10-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Wed
Feb 21
Partly Cloudy
54 12
76 24
5-15 5-20 0.04" 0.95 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Wed
Feb 21
Day
Night
Day

76°F 24°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

SSW 5-15 mph 10-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
49°F 9°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

SSW 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.04" 0.95 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Thu
Feb 22
75% Light Rain
49 9
55 13
5 5-10 0.47" 12.02 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Thu
Feb 22
Day
Night
Day

75%
55°F 13°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Rain

Winds

N 5 mph 10 kmh

Precip

0.42" 10.76 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
41°F 5°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

NE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.05" 1.26 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Fri
Feb 23
55% Scattered Showers
41 5
52 11
5 5-10 0.12" 3.14 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Fri
Feb 23
Day
Night
Day

55%
52°F 11°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

E 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.10" 2.54 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
46°F 8°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

SSE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.02" 0.60 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Sat
Feb 24
55% Scattered Showers
46 8
63 17
5 5-10 0.25" 6.43 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Sat
Feb 24
Day
Night
Day

45%
63°F 17°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

WSW 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.03" 0.69 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

65%
49°F 9°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Showers Likely

Winds

SSW 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.23" 5.74 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Sun
Feb 25
65% Showers
49 9
62 17
5-15 10-25 0.66" 16.64 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Sun
Feb 25
Day
Night
Day

65%
62°F 17°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Showers Likely

Winds

SSE 5 mph 10 kmh

Precip

0.65" 16.63 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

47°F 8°C

Partly Cloudy with Isolated Showers

Winds

W 5-15 mph 10-25 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.01 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Mon
Feb 26
Sunny
51 11
58 15
5-15 5-25 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Mon
Feb 26
Day
Night
Day

58°F 15°C

Sunny

Winds

NW 5-15 mph 5-25 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

42°F 5°C

Clear

Winds

ENE 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Tue
Feb 27
Mostly Cloudy
46 8
53 12
0-5 5-10 0.00" 0.11 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Tue
Feb 27
Day
Night
Day

53°F 12°C

Mostly Cloudy

Winds

SSE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.01 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

44°F 6°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

E 0-5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.10 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Wed
Feb 28
Drizzle
42 5
48 9
5-10 5-15 0.09" 2.28 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Wed
Feb 28
Day
Night
Day

48°F 9°C

Cloudy with Drizzle

Winds

ENE 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.05" 1.35 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

40°F 4°C

Cloudy with Drizzle

Winds

E 10 mph 15 kmh

Precip

0.04" 0.93 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Invest #97

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Invest #97 Forecast Models - Zoom Level 2


Track Data for Selected Models
GFS BAMM UKMET HWRF GFDL NGPS LBAR  
Tropical Forecast Model Selector
Check the boxes next to the models to plot, then click Draw Map below. Models which are not currently available for this storm are disabled. The models currently displayed on the map have already been pre-selected.
Select all    Clear selected
NOAA Official   Select all
OFCLNHC official forecast OFCINHC official forecast (Interpolated 06 hours) OFC2NHC official forecast (Interpolated 12 hours) OHPCHPC official forecast OOPCOPC official forecast OMPCMPC official forecast
GFS   Select all
GFSGFS Model GFSIGFS Model (Interpolated 06 hours) GFS2GFS Model (Interpolated 12 hours) GP01GFS Ensemble +01 member GP02GFS Ensemble +02 member GP03GFS Ensemble +03 member GP04GFS Ensemble +04 member GP05GFS Ensemble +05 member GP06GFS Ensemble +06 member GP07GFS Ensemble +07 member
GP08GFS Ensemble +08 member GP09GFS Ensemble +09 member GP10GFS Ensemble +10 member GP11GFS Ensemble +11 member GP12GFS Ensemble +12 member GP13GFS Ensemble +13 member GP14GFS Ensemble +14 member GP15GFS Ensemble +15 member GP16GFS Ensemble +16 member GP17GFS Ensemble +17 member
GP18GFS Ensemble +18 member GP19GFS Ensemble +19 member GP20GFS Ensemble +20 member GEMNGFS Ensemble Mean GEMIGFS Ensemble Mean (Interpolated 12 hours) GMMNGFS New Ensemble Mean
NHC   Select all
A67NHC-67 statistic model A72NHC-72 statistic model A73NHC-73 statistic model A83NHC-83 statistic-dynamic model A90ENHC-90 (early) statistic-dynamic model A90LNHC-90 (late) statistic-dynamic model 90AE 90BE A98ENHC-98 statistic-dynamic model A9UKNHC-98 (UKMET version)
EP Statistical-Dynamic   Select all
PSSEP statistic-synoptic model PSDEEP (early) statistic-dynamic model PSDLEP statistic-dynamic model P91EEP NHC-91 (early) statistic-dynamic model P91LEP NHC-91 (late) statistic-dynamic model P9UKEP NHC_91 (UKMET version)
Beta-Advection   Select all
BAMDBeta and Advection model, deep (NHC) BAMMBeta and Advection model, medium (NHC) BAMSBeta and Advection model, shallow (NHC) BAMABAM test A BAMBBAM test B BAMCBAM test C
HWRF   Select all
HWRFHWRF model HWFIHWRF model (Interpolated 06 hours) HWF2HWRF model (Interpolated 12 hours)
GFDL   Select all
GFDLGFDL model GFDIGFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) GFD2GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) GHMIGFDL model with Intensity adjustment (Interpolated 06 hours) GHM2GFDL model with Intensity adjustment (Interpolated 12 hours) GFDTGFDL using [GFS tracker] GFTIGFDL using [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) GFT2GFDL using [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours) GTSIGFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) Test only - DO NOT USE! GTS2GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours) Test only - DO NOT USE!
GFDAGFDL model with Aviation boundary layer parm GFDEGFDL model with Emmanuel convective parm GFDUGFDL model (UKMET version) GFUIGFDL model (UKMET version) (Interpolated) GFDCGFDL coupled model GFCIGFDL coupled model (Interpolated) GFDNNavy GFDL model GFNINavy GFDL model (Interpolated 06 hours) GFN2Navy GFDL model (Interpolated 12 hours)
ETA   Select all
ETAETA model ETAIETA model (Interpolated 06 hours) ETA2ETA model (Interpolated 12 hours)
NAM   Select all
NAMNAM model NAMINAM model (Interpolated 06 hours) NAM2NAM model (Interpolated 12 hours)
NGM   Select all
NGMNGM model NGMINGM model (Interpolated)
COAMPS   Select all
COCECOAMPS Carib/E Pacific grid COEICOAMPS Carib/E Pacific grid (Interpolated 06 hours) COE2COAMPS Carib/E Pacific grid (Interpolated 12 hours) COALCOAMPS Atlantic grid COAICOAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 06 hours) COA2COAMPS Atlantic grid (Interpolated 12 hours)
UKMET   Select all
UKMUKMET model (Developmental) UKMIUKMET model (Interpolated 06 hours) UKM2UKMET model (Interpolated 12 hours) UKMETUKMET model GTS (Official) EGRIUKMET model GTS (Official - Interpolated 06 hours) EGR2UKMET model GTS (Official - Interpolated 12 hours) UKXUKMET [GFS tracker] UKXIUKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) UKX2UKMET [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
NOGAPS   Select all
NGPSNOGAPS model NGPINOGAPS model (Interpolated 06 hours) NGP2NOGAPS model (Interpolated 12 hours) NGXNOGAPS [GFS tracker] NGXINOGAPS [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) NGX2NOGAPS [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
Canadian   Select all
CMCCanadian model CEMNCanadian model Ensemble Mean
ECMWF   Select all
ECMECMWF model ECMIECMWF model (Interpolated 06 hours) ECM2ECMWF model (Interpolated 12 hours) EMXECMWF model [GFS tracker] EMXIECMWF model [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) EMX2ECMWF model [GFS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours) EEMNECMWF model Ensemble Mean [GFS tracker] ECMOECMWF model [GTS tracker] ECOIECMWF model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 06 hours) ECO2ECMWF model [GTS tracker] (Interpolated 12 hours)
EEMOECMWF model Ensemble Mean EPS [GTS tracker]
Consensus   Select all
GUNSConsensus of GFDI, UKMI and NGPI models GUNAConsensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI and NGPI models CGUNCorrected GUNA Consensus CONUConsensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI and GFNI models CONEConsensus of AVNI, GFDI, UKMI, NGPI, ECMI and GFNI models CCONCorrected CONU Consensus
SHIP   Select all
DEF1 SHF5SHIFOR intensity model 5-day DSHFSHIFOR (decay) intensity model SHIPSHIPS model DSHPDecay SHIPS model SHPPSHIPS model parallel (experimental - do not use) DSPPDecay SHIPS model parallel (experimental - do not use)
CLIPPER   Select all
MRCLMcAdie Radii CLIPER model MRCIMcAdie Radii CLIPER model (Interpolated) DRCLDeMaria Radii CLIPER model DRCIDeMaria Radii CLIPER model (Interpolated)
Misc   Select all
CARQ WRNG XTRPExtrapolation using past 12-hr motion HURNHURRAN model CLIPCLImatology-PERsistance model 3-day CLP5CLImatology-PERsistance model 5-day SBARSANBAR barotropic model VBARVICBAR VBRIVICBAR model (Interpolated) LBAR
FSSEFSU model FSSIFSU model (Interpolated) MFMMedium Fine Mesh model QLMQuasi-Lagrangian model QLMIQuasi_Lagrangian model (Interpolated) AFW1MM5 Coarse resolution AF1IMM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 06 hours) AF12MM5 Coarse resolution (Interpolated 12 hours) MM36Air Force MM5 model M36IAir Force MM5 model (Interpolated)
MRFOMRF Run FV5NASA fvGCM model FVGINASA fvGCM model (Interpolated) ICONIntensity Consensus (DSHP+GFDI+HWFI) HCONIntensity Consensus (GFDI+HWFI+GFNI) CONIIntensity Consensus Test only - DO NOT USE! OCD5OFCI Decay BCD5Best Track Decay (post-season available only)
AerisWeather Ashburn, Virginia Weather Forecast | AerisWeather

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39.04372, -77.48749

Currently
at Leesburg/Godfrey, VA

Last update 28 minutes ago

45°F 7°C

Feels Like 40°F 4°C

Cloudy

  • Winds

    S 9 mph 15 kmh

  • Dew Point

    45°F 7°C

  • Humidity

    100%

  • Pressure

    30.36 in 1028 mb

  • Visibility

    10 mi 16 km

  • Sky Cover

    100%

  • 1-Hr Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

Short Term

Expect a chance of light rain through 7 PM with temperatures remaining around the mid 40s this afternoon. Expect a chance of light rain through 7 PM with temperatures remaining around 7 degrees this afternoon.

  • Local
  • Regional
  • United States
  • Play
Nearby

44°F 7°C

Baltimore

47°F 8°C

Washington D.c.

47°F 8°C

Arlington

47°F 8°C

Alexandria

Almanac
Yesterday So Far Today
High (Normal) 48°F 9°C  (45.1°F)  (7.3°C) 46°F 8°C  (45.3°F)  (7.4°C)
Low (Normal) 30°F -1°C  (25.0°F)  (-3.9°C) 37°F 3°C  (25.2°F)  (-3.8°C)
Max Winds 13 mph 20 kmh 13 mph 20 kmh
Wind Gust -- 17 mph 28 kmh
Precip 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.00" 0.00 mm
Next 36 Hours

Tonight


 

47°F 8°C

Isolated Showers

  • Winds

    5-10 mph 10-15 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunset

    5:52 pm

Tomorrow


 

71°F 22°C

Partly Cloudy

  • Winds

    10-15 mph 15-20 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunrise

    6:53 am

Tomorrow Night


 

54°F 12°C

Partly Cloudy

  • Winds

    5-10 mph 10-20 kmh

  • Precip

    0.00" 0.00 mm

  • Snow

    0.0" 0.0 cm

  • Sunset

    5:53 pm

Forecast
Winds Precip Snow
Mon
Feb 19
25% Isolated Showers
37 3
52 11
5-10 10-20 0.02" 0.55 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Mon
Feb 19
Day
Night
Night

47°F 8°C

Mostly Cloudy with Isolated Showers

Winds

S 5-10 mph 10-15 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Tue
Feb 20
Partly Cloudy
47 8
71 22
5-15 10-20 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Tue
Feb 20
Day
Night
Day

71°F 22°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

SSW 10-15 mph 15-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

54°F 12°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

S 5-10 mph 10-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Wed
Feb 21
Partly Cloudy
54 12
76 24
5-15 5-20 0.04" 0.95 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Wed
Feb 21
Day
Night
Day

76°F 24°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

SSW 5-15 mph 10-20 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
49°F 9°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

SSW 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.04" 0.95 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Thu
Feb 22
75% Light Rain
49 9
55 13
5 5-10 0.47" 12.02 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Thu
Feb 22
Day
Night
Day

75%
55°F 13°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Rain

Winds

N 5 mph 10 kmh

Precip

0.42" 10.76 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
41°F 5°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

NE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.05" 1.26 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Fri
Feb 23
55% Scattered Showers
41 5
52 11
5 5-10 0.12" 3.14 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Fri
Feb 23
Day
Night
Day

55%
52°F 11°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

E 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.10" 2.54 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

45%
46°F 8°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

SSE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.02" 0.60 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Sat
Feb 24
55% Scattered Showers
46 8
63 17
5 5-10 0.25" 6.43 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Sat
Feb 24
Day
Night
Day

45%
63°F 17°C

Mostly Cloudy with Scattered Showers

Winds

WSW 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.03" 0.69 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

65%
49°F 9°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Showers Likely

Winds

SSW 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.23" 5.74 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Sun
Feb 25
65% Showers
49 9
62 17
5-15 10-25 0.66" 16.64 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Sun
Feb 25
Day
Night
Day

65%
62°F 17°C

Mostly Cloudy with Light Showers Likely

Winds

SSE 5 mph 10 kmh

Precip

0.65" 16.63 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

47°F 8°C

Partly Cloudy with Isolated Showers

Winds

W 5-15 mph 10-25 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.01 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Mon
Feb 26
Sunny
51 11
58 15
5-15 5-25 0.00" 0.00 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Mon
Feb 26
Day
Night
Day

58°F 15°C

Sunny

Winds

NW 5-15 mph 5-25 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

42°F 5°C

Clear

Winds

ENE 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.00 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Tue
Feb 27
Mostly Cloudy
46 8
53 12
0-5 5-10 0.00" 0.11 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Tue
Feb 27
Day
Night
Day

53°F 12°C

Mostly Cloudy

Winds

SSE 5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.01 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

44°F 6°C

Partly Cloudy

Winds

E 0-5 mph 5-10 kmh

Precip

0.00" 0.10 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Wed
Feb 28
Drizzle
42 5
48 9
5-10 5-15 0.09" 2.28 mm 0.0" 0.0 cm
Wed
Feb 28
Day
Night
Day

48°F 9°C

Cloudy with Drizzle

Winds

ENE 5-10 mph 5-15 kmh

Precip

0.05" 1.35 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

Night

40°F 4°C

Cloudy with Drizzle

Winds

E 10 mph 15 kmh

Precip

0.04" 0.93 mm

Snow

0.0" 0.0 cm

1.5MB : 0.334 seconds